Risk Prediction in Surgery

Home Page for www.riskprediction.org.uk
Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure Model
Jason J Smith & Paris P Tekkis
Calculate risk using one of the regression equations
background information on POSSUM scoring
Download visual basic applications and other files
Further information on risk prediction in surgery
Important papers on risk prediction
Bulletin Boards - Discussion and Support Groups
Development Team Access Only
PDA version of the models
Feedback Form

RiskPrediction.org.uk in association with:

Colorectal section of Cleveland Clinic

Introduction

The purpose of these pages is to provide clinicians with the ability to calculate the risk of ileal pouch failure for patients undergoing restorative proctocolectomy. The Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure model is based a population of 1965 patients undergoing ileal pouch surgery between 1983 and 2001 (24).

There is also a wealth of general information on risk prediction in surgery - this area of the site is constantly being updated and it is worth checking back on a regular basis. The service described above is provided free of charge with no liability attached (see disclaimer).

Calculate the Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure Score

Choose a value in each category that matches your patient from the drop down list. Default values (the lowest score) are shown for each category. Simply submitting the form as it is without changing the values still privides a risk for pouch failure based on a patient with FAP without any additinal risk factors or post-operative adverse events.

Questions? - contact Jason Smith or Paris Tekkis

Parameters
Diagnosis
Patient comorbidity
Prior anal pathology
Anal sphincter manometry
Anastomotic separation
Anastomotic Stricture
Pelvic sepsis
Fistula formation

Time (in years) from Ileal Pouch Surgery*

*Not required, but if entered will give an ileal pouch failure rate specific to the length of follow up (in years) following ieal pouch surgery.


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