Risk Prediction in Surgery

This area of the site is under development and may not be fully functional yet

This site is being developed to allow surgeons to estimate mortality risk online for their patients undergoing surgery. This service is provided for individual use to help surgeons more fully consent their patients by giving mortality predictions based on relevant prognostic factors including age, disease severity and co-morbidity. Risk adjusted operative mortality can be used as an objective measure of outcome for monitoring performance within a centre or between centres.

	ACPGBI CRC Model
	ACPGBI Malignant Large Bowel Obstruction Model
	The Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure Model
	CR-POSSUM
	P-POSSUM
	O-POSSUM
	Vascular-POSSUM models

1. ACPGBI CRC Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I Colorectal Cancer Model for mortality in colorectal cancer
2. ACPGBI MBO Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I model for mortality prediction in malignant bowel obstruction
3. CCF IPF Model - The Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure Model for prediction of ileal pouch failure in patients undergoing restorative proctocolectomy.
4. CR-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Colorectal Surgery (benign & malignant)
5. P-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality (& morbidity by POSSUM) in General Surgery
6. O-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Oesophagogastric Surgery
7. Vascular-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Vascular Surgery (all 4 models available)